Moderate traumatic brain injury: analysis of epidemiological variables
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Abstract
Objective: To describe the epidemiology of moderate traumatic brain injury (TBI) and identify risk factors predictive of unfavorable functional outcomes.
Design/Setting: Multicenter retrospective observational study conducted in two neurocritical care units in Spain and Argentina.
Patients: A total of 392 patients with moderate TBI (GCS 9–13) admitted during the first half of 2023, with follow-up at 6 months.
Variables: Clinical, radiological, and outcome variables were analyzed, including GCS and motor subscore after adequate resuscitation, pupillary reactivity, CT findings classified by the Marshall scale, early neurological deterioration, and the need for neurosurgical intervention or orotracheal intubation (OTI). Functional outcome was assessed using the Glasgow Outcome Scale Extended (GOSe) at hospital discharge and at 6 months.
Results: Within the first 24 hours, 32.6% of patients experienced early neurological deterioration and 22.5% required urgent surgery. At discharge, 34.4% had an unfavorable GOSe outcome, which decreased to 21.2% at 6 months. Notably, 16.5% of patients with GCS 13 also had poor functional outcomes. Multivariate analysis identified early OTI (OR 4.72; 95% CI: 2.72–8.21; p<0.0001) and early neurological worsening (OR 1.66; 95% CI: 1.00–2.74; p=0.04) as independent predictors of unfavorable outcomes. No significant differences were found based on hemorrhage type.
Discussion: A substantial proportion of patients with moderate TBI develop severe complications, justifying ICU admission and close monitoring. Initial GCS should be interpreted with caution due to potential confounders (sedation, substances). Lower mortality and higher surgical rates compared to other series may reflect referral to specialized centers. Study limitations require cautious interpretation and highlight the need for prospective validation and improved prognostic models.
Conclusion: Moderate TBI is associated with high morbidity. Early identification of risk factors such as OTI and neurological instability is essential for guiding management. Prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings and refine outcome prediction.
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